News & Insights

An abstract illustration in Merlon's colours: two lines rising from left to right across a warm off-white field, tracking fifteen years of the Australian sharemarket's compounding growth. The upper line counts franking credits and the lower line does not, and the widening wedge between them is shaded. There are no axis labels, figures or words anywhere in the image.
Education

The 1.4% a year your performance table doesn't show

October 2026

Over fifteen years the Australian sharemarket returned 9.75% a year. It also returned 11.14%. The difference is franking — bigger than most fees, and missing from most performance tables. Where it comes from inside a portfolio, why a 70/30 blend collects only about seven-tenths of it, and why it belongs on both sides of any comparison.

A line drawing of a very large industrial building under construction, seen from above and to one side. A steel frame several bays deep stands open on the left, a long clad wall runs away to the right, and a crawler crane lifts a roof truss into place with a tower crane behind it. The yard around it is stacked with steel sections, panels and timber, and several hundred small figures are at work across the site. An illustration, not a photograph of any particular facility.
Markets

Postcard from Malaysia: at the front lines of the AI infrastructure build

October 2026

The largest Australian float in thirty years was pulled on 9 October. We had been in Malaysia days before, meeting the people who build and operate this capacity. What we found was a real cost advantage that belongs more to the place than to the company, and a wave of supply arriving over the next two years.

A line drawing of a heavy sandstone corner building: a rusticated arcaded base, a giant order of six engaged columns above it, small attic windows and a deep cornice, with a modern tower rising behind.
Markets

Why we no longer own a major bank

October 2026

In August 2025 we put a paper to our advisory board setting out what we thought of Australia's major banks. We owned two of them then and none of them now. Here is the argument, what a visiting investor said about why large funds cannot act on it, and where the numbers sit today.

Twenty large dark circles in four rows on the left, against a loose field of a hundred and eighty much smaller pale dots filling the rest of the frame.
Markets

Twenty companies, two-thirds of the index

October 2026

Twenty companies are 64% of the ASX 200 — and only three of them trade below their own five-year median multiple, against 99 of the 162 outside the top twenty. The gap survives every cut we tried.

Two waves. A pale line rises and falls evenly; a heavy dark line follows it almost exactly through the rises but cuts each fall to less than half, with the protected gap marked at each trough.
Education

Upside and downside capture: read them together

October 2026

A low downside capture number can be bought with cash, and it costs upside in the same motion. Why the spread between the two is the figure that matters, and how to check a fund.

Four dark envelopes along a timeline with three paler replies returning below it, and at the end one outlined envelope that never reaches the line.
Stocks

Aurizon: what we asked the board for, and what happened

October 2026

We wrote to Aurizon's directors three days after a $2.35bn acquisition, and kept writing for four years. The chairman answered, then disputed our account of him — and our own Advisory Board talked us out of the third letter.

An abstract line that falls sharply and settles, beside a position built in two steps with a pause between them
Stocks

Judo Bank: how a position gets built

September 2026

How a 40% one-day fall in a bank we had looked at for a year became a position in our portfolio: the research, the pause at half weight for our Advisory Board, and why liquidity rather than conviction set the final size.

An engraving of a smiling man holding a sign reading 'There must be grass down there' as a line of sheep walks towards a cliff edge
Education

The investor's blind spots: five biases your clients will recognise

September 2026

Seventeen biases, one field guide. Kirit Hira on the five that come up most in client conversations, from selling winners too early to anchoring on the price paid, and the one question that cuts through all of them.

A crowded stream of dots running up and to the right, with a few alone in the space it leaves behind
Markets

What's left when the machines take the easy trade?

September 2026

Super funds are telling stock pickers to adapt or die. Joey Mui argues the opposite: systematic money has taken the easy trade, and what it leaves behind is the more rewarding one for patient investors.

Abstract grid in Merlon colours
Education

Tracking error is not risk

September 2026

Tracking error and volatility are often read as the same thing. They are not, and confusing them can mean paying active fees for index risk. A short lesson on telling them apart, what the fees are buying, and how to check a fund.

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