News & Insights

Twenty large dark circles in four rows on the left, against a loose field of a hundred and eighty much smaller pale dots filling the rest of the frame.
Markets

Twenty companies, two-thirds of the index

October 2026

Twenty companies are 64% of the ASX 200 — and only three of them trade below their own five-year median multiple, against 99 of the 162 outside the top twenty. The gap survives every cut we tried.

Two waves. A pale line rises and falls evenly; a heavy dark line follows it almost exactly through the rises but cuts each fall to less than half, with the protected gap marked at each trough.
Education

Upside and downside capture: read them together

October 2026

A low downside capture number can be bought with cash, and it costs upside in the same motion. Why the spread between the two is the figure that matters, and how to check a fund.

Four dark envelopes along a timeline with three paler replies returning below it, and at the end one outlined envelope that never reaches the line.
Stocks

Aurizon: what we asked the board for, and what happened

October 2026

We wrote to Aurizon's directors three days after a $2.35bn acquisition, and kept writing for four years. The chairman answered, then disputed our account of him — and our own Advisory Board talked us out of the third letter.

An abstract line that falls sharply and settles, beside a position built in two steps with a pause between them
Stocks

Judo Bank: how a position gets built

September 2026

How a 40% one-day fall in a bank we had looked at for a year became a position in our portfolio: the research, the pause at half weight for our Advisory Board, and why liquidity rather than conviction set the final size.

An engraving of a smiling man holding a sign reading 'There must be grass down there' as a line of sheep walks towards a cliff edge
Education

The investor's blind spots: five biases your clients will recognise

September 2026

Seventeen biases, one field guide. Kirit Hira on the five that come up most in client conversations, from selling winners too early to anchoring on the price paid, and the one question that cuts through all of them.

A crowded stream of dots running up and to the right, with a few alone in the space it leaves behind
Markets

What's left when the machines take the easy trade?

September 2026

Super funds are telling stock pickers to adapt or die. Joey Mui argues the opposite: systematic money has taken the easy trade, and what it leaves behind is the more rewarding one for patient investors.

Abstract grid in Merlon colours
Education

Tracking error is not risk

September 2026

Tracking error and volatility are often read as the same thing. They are not, and confusing them can mean paying active fees for index risk. A short lesson on telling them apart, what the fees are buying, and how to check a fund.

A spreadsheet flowing into a connected system, in Merlon colours
About Merlon

From one spreadsheet to a working system: the early days of AI at Merlon

September 2026

In July, one of our portfolio managers asked how to get our attribution out of Excel. Two months later, AI supports our research, reporting and company engagement. It is early days, but here is what we have learned, and why we think it matters.

About Merlon

Merlon steps out front and centre post-Fidante buyout

August 2026

Fresh off a company rebrand and exiting Fidante ownership, Merlon chief executive Neil Margolis says the firm’s independence has put the management in control of its own destiny.

About Merlon

How a $1b fund turned a three-page letter into an investment edge

July 2026

If you’re running a large listed Australian company and a letter from Merlon Capital Partners arrives in the mail, chances are you’re not in a great place.

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